The Indian stock market benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are
likely to open higher on Friday, tracking upbeat global market cues.
The
trends on Gift Nifty also indicate a positive start for the Indian
benchmark index. The Gift Nifty was trading around 24,885 level, a
premium of nearly 57 points from the Nifty futures’ previous close.
On Thursday, the equity market ended marginally higher, with the benchmark Nifty 50 closing above 24,700 level.
The Sensex rose 150.30 points, or 0.19%, to close at 80,718.01, while the Nifty 50 settled 19.25 points, or 0.08%, higher at 24,734.30.
Here’s what to expect from Sensex, Nifty 50, and Bank Nifty today:
Sensex Prediction
Sensex has formed a bearish candle on the daily charts which indicates further weakness from the current levels.
“We
are of the view that the short-term market outlook remains positive;
however, a fresh uptrend rally is possible only after crossing the
81,000 level. Above this, Sensex
could move up to 81,500. Further upside may also continue, potentially
lifting the index up to 81,800,” said Shrikant Chouhan, Head – Equity
Research, Kotak Securities.
On the downside, he notes that 80,500
and 80,300 are key support zones for day traders, and if Sensex falls
below 80,300, the uptrend could become vulnerable.
Nifty OI Data
In
the derivatives segment, the highest Nifty Call Open Interest (OI) was
recorded at the 24,800 strike, while the highest Put Open Interest was
concentrated at the 24,600 strike. This setup suggests firm resistance
near 24,800, with a sustained close above this level crucial to revive
bullish momentum, said Amruta Shinde, Technical & Derivative Analyst
at Choice Equity Broking.
Nifty 50 Prediction
Nifty
50 formed a long negative candle on the daily chart after opening
higher, indicating a formation of bearish ‘meeting line’ type candle
pattern.
“Nifty 50 encountered strong resistance around the
25,000 mark (upper end of last weekly bear candle and down sloping trend
line). The recent bounce back in Nifty seems to have hit the hurdle and
the present market action indicates some more consolidation or weakness
ahead,” said Nagaraj Shetti, Senior Technical Research Analyst at HDFC
Securities.
According to him, the important lower supports to be
watched are around 24,550 and next 24,400 levels for the next few
sessions, and a decisive move only above 25,000 mark could open more
short covering in the market.
Hrishikesh Yedve, AVP Technical and Derivative Research, Asit C. Mehta Investment Interrmediates Ltd. highlighted that the Nifty 50 formed a bearish Marubozu candle on the daily chart, indicating weakness.
“In
the near term, trend line resistance is placed around 25,000 levels,
which will act as a strong hurdle, while major support is seen near
24,500 and 24,340 levels. Thus, short term traders are advised to buy
near support and sell near resistance in the short term,” Yedve said.
Sudeep
Shah, Head - Technical Research and Derivatives at SBI Securities said
that the zone of 24,630 - 24,600 will act as immediate support for the
Nifty 50 index.
“If the Nifty 50 index slips below the 24,600
level, then the next crucial support is placed at the 24,450 level.
While, on the upside, the zone of 24,850 - 24,880 will act as a crucial
hurdle for the index,” Shah said.
Bank Nifty Prediction
Bank
Nifty index ended 7.90 points, or 0.01%, higher at 54,075.45 on
Thursday, forming a bear candle, signaling consolidation as it failed to
generate a follow through to previous sessions pullback.
“Bank Nifty
index formed a candle with long upper and lower shadows, reflecting
intraday rejection near the VWAP at 54,165 and leaving the recovery
attempt inconclusive. The index continues to remain below all short-term
moving averages, keeping the immediate trend tilted to the weaker side.
On the broader timeframe, the index is still protecting the recent
swing lows, 53,560,” said Om Mehra, Technical Research Analyst, SAMCO
Securities.
On the higher side, he believes, sustaining above
54,550 would be essential to lend strength and open the path for a
sustained uptrend.
“The RSI at 37 reflects muted momentum. The
resistance remains at 54,550 – 54,620, where short-term averages
converge, whereas support is placed at 53,600 – 53,480. Unless Nifty
Bank decisively reclaims 54,900, the overall outlook is expected to stay
tilted toward consolidation with limited directional move,” Mehra said.
Bajaj Broking Research said that the Bank Nifty index is seen consolidating around the 200 days EMA.
“Overall,
we expect the Bank Nifty index to extend consolidation in the range
53,300 - 55,000 in the coming sessions. Bank Nifty has immediate support
at 53,500 - 53,300 levels being the confluence of the 200 days EMA and
the low of May 2025. A breach below the same will signal acceleration of
decline towards the key support area of 52,500 - 52,000 levels in the
coming week,” said the brokerage firm.
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